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Thursday, November 10, 2005

Aquelas coisas que Merkel devia ler

GERMANY'S ECONOMY IN DESPERATE NEED OF CHANGE

Germany's economy has fallen on hard times with no end in sight. Gross domestic product (GDP) growth for 2005 is estimated to remain at the paltry 1 percent rate it averaged during the entire decade of the 1990s, while unemployment has remained consistently above 10 percent.

The stagnant economy is due to the government's decision to return to a social market economy, says Bob Formaini of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.

By contrast, after World War II, West Germany experienced unprecedented economic growth in a free market economy:

* From 1950 to 1974, citizens enjoyed a 5.7 percent average growth rate -- per capita GDP actually tripled.
* The unemployment rate was 2.5 percent, and more than 8 million new jobs were created.

However, in the late 1960s, German policymakers began adopting price controls and market regulations based on "Schmollerism" -- social market economic beliefs that ultimately ended Germany's economic success.

* "Schmollerism" is considered to be a "third way" between capitalism and communism and is the same ideology embraced by German economic policy from 1880 to 1948.
* From 1913 to 1950, for instance, Germany averaged only 0.3 percent growth.

Germany's economy will not recover unless it returns to a free market economic model similar to that of postwar West Germany, says Formaini. Reforms should include removal of strict government controls and regulations, reducing the high tax burden and government spending on social programs and freeing labor markets.

A fonte original do documento é o artigo publicado no sempre recomendável Ludwig von Mises Institute:

Germany: Doomed by Schmollerism de Robert Formaini

Neste artigo, para além da análise histórica (das consequências) das diversas políticas económicas aplicadas na Alemanha, é possível ver gráficos que resumem o crescimento do PIB, as taxas de desemprego e a produtividade dos países anglo-saxónicos comparativamente à Alemanha. É de notar, mais uma vez, o boom económico na Irlanda que, sendo um dos países europeus tradicionalmente pobres se tornou num dos mais ricos devido a políticas de atracção de investimento estrangeiro e redução da despesa estatal.
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